💡 SG Price Targets

Our price targets are built from a fundamentals-first approach.

For every company we evaluate, we look at the numbers they actually report — their earnings, margins, cash flow, and long-term trends — and translate that into a realistic valuation range.

The table below shows each company’s current valuation range (from Extreme Low to Extreme High), our fair-value estimate, its SG Tier, and when the analysis was last updated.

Our price targets are built on a quarterly horizon, usually refreshed after earnings.

This is not a prediction tool.

The valuation range doesn’t mean a stock will reach every price level. Instead, it shows where a company might reasonably trade within a quarter — closer to the lows in weaker conditions, closer to the highs in stronger periods, or near fair value when things are more stable.

Ticker Company Name Sector SG Tier Risk Tier Current Price Target Upside % Extreme Low Expected Low Probable Low Probable High Expected High Extreme High Insert Date
AAPL Apple Inc TECHNOLOGY 2 1 291.13 274 -5.88% 207 232 249 299 324 348 2026-06-04
AMD Advanced Micro Devic MANUFACTURING 1 3 511.57 254 -50.35% 162 208 231 296 324 393 2026-05-05
AMZN Amazon.com Inc CONSUMER CYCLICAL 1 2 238.55 299 25.34% 205 239 265 334 359 385 2026-04-29
ANET Arista Networks TECHNOLOGY 2 3 163.24 145 -11.17% 96 112 129 161 177 193 2026-05-05
AVGO Broadcom Inc MANUFACTURING 2 3 382.07 382 -0.02% 229 306 344 420 458 496 2026-04-22
GOOGL Alphabet Inc Class A COMMUNICATION SERVICES 1 1 359.68 370 2.87% 264 304 330 410 436 476 2026-04-29
META Meta Platforms Inc. COMMUNICATION SERVICES 1 3 566.98 754 32.99% 559 615 671 810 894 950 2026-04-30
MSFT Microsoft Corporatio TECHNOLOGY 1 1 390.74 552 41.27% 390 455 504 601 650 731 2026-06-05
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation MANUFACTURING 1 3 205.19 252 22.81% 176 199 223 276 299 323 2026-05-20
ORCL Oracle Corporation TECHNOLOGY 2 3 184.13 236 28.17% 133 162 192 280 325 369 2026-04-22
QCOM Qualcomm Incorporate TECHNOLOGY 1 2 211.72 174 -17.82% 120 132 144 192 222 240 2026-04-29
TSLA Tesla Inc CONSUMER CYCLICAL 1 4 406.43 357 -12.16% 198 238 278 396 456 496 2026-04-30

🔍 Field Explanations & Articles

Below is a short explanation of the fields included in the table.

Each one links to a deeper view of how we think and how these numbers come together.


📈 Price Ranges — Extreme Low to Extreme High

Our valuation range reflects different possible scenarios for a company:

  • Extreme Low – A pessimistic scenario based on significant contraction or risk materialization
  • Expected Low – A softer, but still cautious, view
  • Probable Low / High – Our middle ground, reflecting the company’s most likely operating range
  • Expected High – A strong but reasonable positive scenario
  • Extreme High – A stretch scenario where things go unusually well

The Upside shown in the table compares today’s price to our fair-value estimate.

It’s not a prediction — just a reference point to help understand relative valuation.

🗓️ Insert Date — How Often We Update

Each company is updated quarterly, usually shortly after it reports new earnings.

If something meaningful changes — guidance updates, structural shifts, exceptional events — we may adjust outside the normal cycle.

The insert date simply tells you when the numbers were last refreshed.

🏗️ SG Tier — What It Represents

SG Tier reflects how well we understand a company and how confident we are in our analysis.

It’s not a quality score of the business itself — it’s a measure of how familiar we are with it.

  • Tier 1 → Companies we know well, with high confidence in our evaluation
  • Tier 2 → Companies we understand reasonably well, but still refining
  • Tier 3 → Companies we’re newer to, or where visibility is limited

The lower the tier, the stronger our confidence in the assumptions behind the valuation.

⚠️ Risk Tier — Understanding Risk Levels

Risk Tier reflects the overall stability and volatility of a company — how sensitive it might be to market swings, macro conditions, competitive pressure, or unpredictable results.

Higher-risk companies tend to have:

- More volatile revenue or margins

- Less predictable growth paths

- Greater exposure to macroeconomic shifts

- Faster-moving competitive landscapes

- Wider valuation ranges

Lower-risk companies tend to be steadier and more consistent, with tighter valuation scenarios.

This tier helps set expectations for how wide the valuation range might be — and how much uncertainty should be assumed when interpreting the price targets.

➕ Adding New Companies — Our Process

We regularly consider new companies to add to the platform, but we also want to maintain high-quality, thoughtful evaluations for the ones already here.

We’re always balancing between:

- Expanding coverage

- Improving existing SG Tiers and models

- Deepening our analysis where it matters most

Our goal is slow, steady growth — not quantity for its own sake.