💡 SG Price Targets

Our price targets are built from a fundamentals-first approach.

For every company we evaluate, we look at the numbers they actually report — their earnings, margins, cash flow, and long-term trends — and translate that into a realistic valuation range.

The table below shows each company’s current valuation range (from Extreme Low to Extreme High), our fair-value estimate, its SG Tier, and when the analysis was last updated.

Our price targets are built on a quarterly horizon, usually refreshed after earnings.

This is not a prediction tool.

The valuation range doesn’t mean a stock will reach every price level. Instead, it shows where a company might reasonably trade within a quarter — closer to the lows in weaker conditions, closer to the highs in stronger periods, or near fair value when things are more stable.

Ticker Company Name Sector SG Tier Risk Tier Current Price Target Upside % Extreme Low Expected Low Probable Low Probable High Expected High Extreme High Insert Date
AAPL Apple Inc TECHNOLOGY 2 1 263.40 254 -3.57% 206 222 238 270 294 317 2026-01-29
AMD Advanced Micro Devic MANUFACTURING 1 3 278.26 231 -16.98% 139 189 210 269 294 336 2026-02-03
AMZN Amazon.com Inc CONSUMER CYCLICAL 1 2 249.70 257 2.92% 184 213 235 301 323 360 2026-02-11
ANET Arista Networks TECHNOLOGY 2 3 161.01 121 -24.85% 84 99 107 135 149 163 2025-12-14
AVGO Broadcom Inc MANUFACTURING 2 3 398.47 358 -10.16% 250 286 322 394 429 465 2025-12-14
GOOGL Alphabet Inc Class A COMMUNICATION SERVICES 1 1 336.02 304 -9.53% 228 261 283 326 348 381 2026-02-04
META Meta Platforms Inc. COMMUNICATION SERVICES 1 3 676.87 742 9.62% 606 651 697 788 833 878 2026-01-29
MSFT Microsoft Corporatio TECHNOLOGY 1 1 420.26 556 32.30% 386 463 510 618 695 726 2026-01-28
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation MANUFACTURING 1 3 198.35 212 6.88% 153 178 192 237 261 276 2026-03-03
ORCL Oracle Corporation TECHNOLOGY 2 3 178.34 255 42.99% 170 198 219 297 346 389 2025-12-16
QCOM Qualcomm Incorporate TECHNOLOGY 1 2 134.47 183 36.09% 140 153 165 201 226 263 2026-02-04
TSLA Tesla Inc CONSUMER CYCLICAL 1 4 388.90 328 -15.66% 182 219 255 365 419 456 2026-01-28

🔍 Field Explanations & Articles

Below is a short explanation of the fields included in the table.

Each one links to a deeper view of how we think and how these numbers come together.


📈 Price Ranges — Extreme Low to Extreme High

Our valuation range reflects different possible scenarios for a company:

  • Extreme Low – A pessimistic scenario based on significant contraction or risk materialization
  • Expected Low – A softer, but still cautious, view
  • Probable Low / High – Our middle ground, reflecting the company’s most likely operating range
  • Expected High – A strong but reasonable positive scenario
  • Extreme High – A stretch scenario where things go unusually well

The Upside shown in the table compares today’s price to our fair-value estimate.

It’s not a prediction — just a reference point to help understand relative valuation.

🗓️ Insert Date — How Often We Update

Each company is updated quarterly, usually shortly after it reports new earnings.

If something meaningful changes — guidance updates, structural shifts, exceptional events — we may adjust outside the normal cycle.

The insert date simply tells you when the numbers were last refreshed.

🏗️ SG Tier — What It Represents

SG Tier reflects how well we understand a company and how confident we are in our analysis.

It’s not a quality score of the business itself — it’s a measure of how familiar we are with it.

  • Tier 1 → Companies we know well, with high confidence in our evaluation
  • Tier 2 → Companies we understand reasonably well, but still refining
  • Tier 3 → Companies we’re newer to, or where visibility is limited

The lower the tier, the stronger our confidence in the assumptions behind the valuation.

⚠️ Risk Tier — Understanding Risk Levels

Risk Tier reflects the overall stability and volatility of a company — how sensitive it might be to market swings, macro conditions, competitive pressure, or unpredictable results.

Higher-risk companies tend to have:

- More volatile revenue or margins

- Less predictable growth paths

- Greater exposure to macroeconomic shifts

- Faster-moving competitive landscapes

- Wider valuation ranges

Lower-risk companies tend to be steadier and more consistent, with tighter valuation scenarios.

This tier helps set expectations for how wide the valuation range might be — and how much uncertainty should be assumed when interpreting the price targets.

➕ Adding New Companies — Our Process

We regularly consider new companies to add to the platform, but we also want to maintain high-quality, thoughtful evaluations for the ones already here.

We’re always balancing between:

- Expanding coverage

- Improving existing SG Tiers and models

- Deepening our analysis where it matters most

Our goal is slow, steady growth — not quantity for its own sake.